3. Liga MSFL · Czech-Republic · Stadion KovonaKarviná II vs Hodonín prediction & analysis
Hodonín to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Karviná II 1.1 – 1.8 Hodonín expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Hodonín shade it despite being away from home – 57% to win, against 24% for Karviná II.
Karviná II have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Hodonín have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.1 for Karviná II, 1.8 for Hodonín). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Hodonín to win at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hodonín to win ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 82% | 1.23 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Half-time result | Hodonín ahead at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Hodonín / FT Hodonín ✗ | 34% | 2.91 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.14 | – |
Form
Karviná II – last 6
| 2 Sep | vs Frýdek-Místek | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Vrchovina | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Polanka nad Odrou | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Havířov | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Aug | vs Uherský Brod | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ Uničov | 2–3 | L |
Hodonín – last 6
| 2 Sep | vs Sigma Olomouc II | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Vítkovice | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ Zlín II | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Líšeň II | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Aug | @ Bzenec | 0–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Blansko | 3–3 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karviná II and Hodonín.
3. Liga MSFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Frýdek-Místek | 16 | +15 | 33 |
| 2 |  Uničov | 16 | +12 | 33 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc II | 16 | +17 | 31 |
| 4 |  Líšeň II | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Zbrojovka Brno II | 16 | +9 | 30 |
| 6 |  Hodonín | 16 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Unie Hlubina | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 8 |  Karviná II | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Vítkovice | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 |  Hranice | 16 | -2 | 23 |
| 11 |  Slovácko II | 16 | +6 | 22 |
| 12 |  Uherský Brod | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Zlín II | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 14 |  Blansko | 16 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 |  Vrchovina | 16 | -17 | 17 |
| 16 |  Havířov | 16 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 |  Polanka nad Odrou | 16 | -15 | 12 |
| 18 |  Vsetín | 16 | -24 | 10 |
More 3. Liga MSFL predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Karviná II vs Hodonín?
Our pick is Hodonín to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Karviná II vs Hodonín?
On our numbers Karviná II have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Hodonín 57%.
How many goals will there be in Karviná II vs Hodonín?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Karviná II vs Hodonín?
Karviná II vs Hodonín (3. Liga MSFL) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 09:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kovona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.