3. Liga MSFL · Czech-Republic · Stadium Nove MestoVrchovina vs Karviná II prediction & analysis
Vrchovina or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Vrchovina to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Vrchovina 1.9 – 1.0 Karviná II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Vrchovina hold the edge on home soil with a 56% chance of winning, against 20% for Karviná II.
Vrchovina have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.3 per game. Karviná II have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 for Vrchovina, 1.0 for Karviná II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Vrchovina have won 1, Karviná II have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Vrchovina or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.24. For a bigger price, Vrchovina to win at 1.95 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Vrchovina to win ✓ | 56% | 1.77 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Vrchovina or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.48 | – |
| Half-time result | Vrchovina ahead at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.39 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Vrchovina / FT Vrchovina ✓ | 36% | 2.80 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 10% | 9.56 | – |
Form
Vrchovina – last 6
| 22 Aug | @ Vítkovice | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Zlín II | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ Líšeň II | 0–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Blansko | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Jul | @ Sparta Brno | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jul | @ Vysočina Jihlava | 0–8 | L |
Karviná II – last 6
| 23 Aug | vs Polanka nad Odrou | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Havířov | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Aug | vs Uherský Brod | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ Uničov | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Jul | @ Tatran Krásno | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Jul | @ Žilina II | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
| 29 Apr 2026 | Karviná II v Vrchovina | 2–3 |
3. Liga MSFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Frýdek-Místek | 16 | +15 | 33 |
| 2 |  Uničov | 16 | +12 | 33 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc II | 16 | +17 | 31 |
| 4 |  Líšeň II | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Zbrojovka Brno II | 16 | +9 | 30 |
| 6 |  Hodonín | 16 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Unie Hlubina | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 8 |  Karviná II | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Vítkovice | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 |  Hranice | 16 | -2 | 23 |
| 11 |  Slovácko II | 16 | +6 | 22 |
| 12 |  Uherský Brod | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Zlín II | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 14 |  Blansko | 16 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 |  Vrchovina | 16 | -17 | 17 |
| 16 |  Havířov | 16 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 |  Polanka nad Odrou | 16 | -15 | 12 |
| 18 |  Vsetín | 16 | -24 | 10 |
More 3. Liga MSFL predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Vrchovina vs Karviná II?
Our pick is Vrchovina or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vrchovina vs Karviná II?
On our numbers Vrchovina have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Karviná II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Vrchovina vs Karviná II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Vrchovina vs Karviná II?
Vrchovina vs Karviná II (3. Liga MSFL) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Nove Mesto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.