First League · Russia · Stadion TekstilshchikTekstilshchik vs Torpedo Moskva prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tekstilshchik 0.6 – 1.7 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Torpedo Moskva travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 13% for Tekstilshchik.
Tekstilshchik have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Torpedo Moskva have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. Torpedo Moskva come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (0.6 for Tekstilshchik, 1.7 for Torpedo Moskva). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (17%), 0–2 (15%), 0–0 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.28. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.15 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Torpedo Moskva to win ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.55 |
| Double chance | Torpedo Moskva or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.94 | 2.15 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.34 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.20 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva ✓ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 17% | 5.79 | – |
Form
Tekstilshchik – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs Veles | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Ural | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | @ KAMAZ | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Nizhny Novgorod | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Enisey | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Aug | @ FK Neftekhimik | 0–1 | L |
Torpedo Moskva – last 6
| 30 Aug | @ Ska-khabarovsk | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Spartak Kostroma | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Chelyabinsk | 4–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs FC Sochi | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Aug | @ Arsenal Tula | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | vs Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tekstilshchik and Torpedo Moskva.
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | +37 | 46 |
| 2 |  Ural | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 17 | +16 | 32 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 17 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 |  Veles | 18 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |  Spartak Kostroma | 17 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 17 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 18 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 17 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chelyabinsk | 17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Arsenal Tula | 17 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 17 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Enisey | 17 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 17 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 17 | -17 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tekstilshchik vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tekstilshchik vs Torpedo Moskva?
On our numbers Tekstilshchik have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Torpedo Moskva 64%.
How many goals will there be in Tekstilshchik vs Torpedo Moskva?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Tekstilshchik vs Torpedo Moskva?
Tekstilshchik vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Tekstilshchik.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.