Bundesliga · Germany · RheinEnergieStadion

1. FC Köln

DWDLW
1–2
FT

Bayer Leverkusen

LLWLW

1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction & analysis

61%
Footrivo pick

Bayer Leverkusen to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBayer Leverkusen to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceBayer Leverkusen or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.17

Win chances

1. FC Köln16%fair 6.21 · @4.50
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @4.00
Bayer Leverkusen61%fair 1.63 · @1.73
3.28Expected goals
1.081. FC Köln xG
2.20Bayer Leverkusen xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: 1. FC Köln 1.1 – 2.2 Bayer Leverkusen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Bayer Leverkusen travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 16% for 1. FC Köln.

1. FC Köln have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.8 per game. Bayer Leverkusen have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

We expect around 3.3 goals (1.1 for 1. FC Köln, 2.2 for Bayer Leverkusen). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%), 1–1 (9%).

Our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is better than our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBayer Leverkusen to win ✓61%1.631.73 ▲
Double chanceBayer Leverkusen or draw ✓84%1.191.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.211.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.681.57
Half-time resultBayer Leverkusen ahead at half-time ✓46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bayer Leverkusen / FT Bayer Leverkusen ✓41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.17–

Form

1. FC Köln – last 6

DWDLWD
1 Nov@ Union Berlin1–1D
27 Octvs Union Berlin5–0W
24 Octvs FC Schalke 040–0D
16 Oct@ Eintracht Frankfurt0–1L
11 Octvs Borussia Mönchengladbach2–1W
3 Oct@ FC Viktoria Köln2–2D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bayer Leverkusen – last 6

LLWLWW
5 Novvs Marseille0–1L
31 Octvs VfB Stuttgart2–4L
28 Octvs 1. FC Nürnberg5–2W
25 Oct@ 1899 Hoffenheim0–3L
22 Oct@ OFI2–0W
18 Octvs SC Freiburg2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between 1. FC Köln and Bayer Leverkusen.

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern München9630+2021
2Borussia Dortmund9630+921
3SC Freiburg9612+1019
4RB Leipzig9603+1418
5Bayer Leverkusen9513+316
6Werder Bremen9432+215
7SV Elversberg9414-113
8VfB Stuttgart9405012
91899 Hoffenheim9405-112
10Eintracht Frankfurt9333-512
11Hamburger SV9405-1012
12FSV Mainz 059315-110
13SC Paderborn 079243-310
14FC Augsburg923409
151. FC Köln9234-49
16Union Berlin9144-147
17FC Schalke 049135-66
18Borussia Mönchengladbach9117-134

More Bundesliga predictions

League hub →
FT SC Freiburg2 Union Berlin0 631918 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓ FT 1899 Hoffenheim2 FC Schalke 041 652213 11899 Hoffenheim to win 65%@1.57 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?

On our numbers 1. FC Köln have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bayer Leverkusen 61%.

How many goals will there be in 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

When is 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?

1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at RheinEnergieStadion.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.