Bundesliga · Germany · Europa-Park Stadion
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: SC Freiburg 2.1 – 1.0 Union Berlin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
SC Freiburg are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 18% for Union Berlin.
SC Freiburg have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. Union Berlin have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.1 for SC Freiburg, 1.0 for Union Berlin). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%), 1–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, SC Freiburg have won 0, Union Berlin have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.25.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | SC Freiburg to win ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | SC Freiburg or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | SC Freiburg ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT SC Freiburg / FT SC Freiburg ✗ | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.09 | – |
Form
SC Freiburg – last 6
| 5 Nov | @ Trabzonspor | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | @ FC Augsburg | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Bayern München | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Oct | @ Monaco | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1–2 | L |
Union Berlin – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs 1. FC Köln | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Oct | @ 1. FC Köln | 0–5 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ FC Augsburg | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs SV Elversberg | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ Bayern München | 0–7 | L |
Head to head
| 15 Mar 2026 | SC Freiburg v Union Berlin | 0–1 |
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 9 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 9 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |  VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  FC Augsburg | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  1. FC Köln | 9 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 9 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | -13 | 4 |
More Bundesliga predictions
League hub →1. FC Köln1
Bayer Leverkusen2
2Bayer Leverkusen to win
61%@1.73
✓
FT
1899 Hoffenheim2
FC Schalke 041
11899 Hoffenheim to win
65%@1.57
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
On our numbers SC Freiburg have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Union Berlin 18%.
How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Europa-Park Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.