Bundesliga · Germany · MHPArena

VfB Stuttgart

LWWLD

1–0

Werder Bremen

WLWDD

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen prediction & analysis

64%

Footrivo pick

VfB Stuttgart to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.80Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultVfB Stuttgart to win ✓64% · @1.80

Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.40

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.86

Win chances

VfB Stuttgart64%fair 1.56 · @1.80

Draw17%fair 5.87 · @4.33

Werder Bremen19%fair 5.31 · @3.80

3.74Expected goals

2.47VfB Stuttgart xG

1.27Werder Bremen xG

68%Both score

72%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%

3–18%

1–17%

2–07%

3–06%

1–06%

From our goals model: VfB Stuttgart 2.5 – 1.3 Werder Bremen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

VfB Stuttgart are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 19% for Werder Bremen.

VfB Stuttgart have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Werder Bremen have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.8 conceded. Werder Bremen come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.7 goals (2.5 for VfB Stuttgart, 1.3 for Werder Bremen). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 1–1 (7%).

In their last 1 meeting, VfB Stuttgart have won 0, Werder Bremen have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is VfB Stuttgart to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	VfB Stuttgart to win ✓	64%	1.56	1.80 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	83%	1.21	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	68%	1.48	1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	88%	1.14	1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	72%	1.39	1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	52%	1.92	1.80
Half-time result	VfB Stuttgart ahead at half-time ✓	48%	2.08	–
Half-time / full-time	HT VfB Stuttgart / FT VfB Stuttgart ✓	42%	2.39	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.86	–

Form

VfB Stuttgart – last 6

LWWLDL

3 Nov	@ Galatasaray	0–2	L
31 Oct	@ Bayer Leverkusen	4–2	W
28 Oct	@ SC Paderborn 07	1–0	W
23 Oct	vs Borussia Mönchengladbach	2–3	L
20 Oct	vs Atletico Madrid	1–1	D
17 Oct	@ Hamburger SV	0–1	L

1.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Werder Bremen – last 6

WLWDDW

31 Oct	vs 1899 Hoffenheim	2–0	W
27 Oct	@ Borussia Dortmund	2–3	L
24 Oct	@ FSV Mainz 05	3–2	W
17 Oct	vs SC Paderborn 07	2–2	D
9 Oct	@ Borussia Dortmund	2–2	D
19 Sep	vs FC Augsburg	3–2	W

2.3Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026

VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen

1–1

Bundesliga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	9	6	3	0	+20	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	6	3	0	+9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	6	1	2	+10	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	6	0	3	+14	18
5	Bayer Leverkusen	9	5	1	3	+3	16
6	Werder Bremen	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	SV Elversberg	9	4	1	4	-1	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	4	0	5	0	12
9	1899 Hoffenheim	9	4	0	5	-1	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	3	3	3	-5	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	4	0	5	-10	12
12	FSV Mainz 05	9	3	1	5	-1	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	2	4	3	-3	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	2	3	4	0	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	2	3	4	-4	9
16	Union Berlin	9	1	4	4	-14	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	1	3	5	-6	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	1	1	7	-13	4

More Bundesliga predictions

League hub →

Borussia Dortmund2

SV Elversberg1 681715 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.36 ✓ FT

RB Leipzig5

FC Augsburg2 641917 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓ FT

FSV Mainz 051

Bayern München2 131770 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓ FT

SC Paderborn 072

Eintracht Frankfurt2 372142 GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

Our pick is VfB Stuttgart to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

On our numbers VfB Stuttgart have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Werder Bremen 19%.

How many goals will there be in VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

When is VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at MHPArena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.