Frauenliga · Austria · NV ArenaSt. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: St. Pölten W 2.4 – 1.0 Sturm Graz W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
St. Pölten W are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 13% for Sturm Graz W.
St. Pölten W have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Sturm Graz W have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.4 for St. Pölten W, 1.0 for Sturm Graz W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
In their last 2 meetings, St. Pölten W have won 2, Sturm Graz W have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.53.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | St. Pölten W to win ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.22 |
| Double chance | St. Pölten W or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Half-time result | St. Pölten W ahead at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT St. Pölten W / FT St. Pölten W ✗ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.40 | – |
Form
St. Pölten W – last 6
| 30 Sep | @ Malmö FF W | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Kleinmünchen BW Linz W | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | vs Malmö FF W | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Südburgenland W | 9–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ First Vienna W | 4–1 | W |
| 2 Sep | @ Juventus W | 1–1 | D |
Sturm Graz W – last 6
| 30 Sep | vs VfL Wolfsburg W | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Austria Wien W | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | @ VfL Wolfsburg W | 1–6 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs SK Rapid W | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Kleinmünchen BW Linz W | 4–0 | W |
| 2 Sep | @ Gintra-Universitetas W | 5–3 | W |
Head to head
| 22 May 2026 | Sturm Graz W v St. Pölten W | 2–3 |
| 1 May 2026 | St. Pölten W v Sturm Graz W | 2–0 |
Frauenliga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St. Pölten W | 12 | +31 | 31 |
| 2 |  Sturm Graz W | 12 | +22 | 29 |
| 3 |  Austria Wien W | 11 | +29 | 26 |
| 4 |  Salzburg W | 12 | 0 | 19 |
| 5 |  Rheindorf Altach W | 11 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  First Vienna W | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 7 |  LASK W | 12 | -11 | 11 |
| 8 |  SK Rapid W | 12 | -15 | 10 |
| 9 |  Südburgenland W | 12 | -22 | 6 |
| 10 |  Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W | 12 | -27 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for St. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win St. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W?
On our numbers St. Pölten W have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sturm Graz W 13%.
How many goals will there be in St. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is St. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W?
St. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W (Frauenliga) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at NV Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.