Primera División Femenina · Spain · Estadi Johan CruyffBarcelona W vs Granada prediction & analysis
Over 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 3.50 – our chance 51% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +78%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Barcelona W 3.3 – 1.0 Granada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Barcelona W are clear favourites at home with a 79% chance of winning, against 6% for Granada.
Barcelona W have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 4.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Granada have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded. Barcelona W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.3 goals (3.3 for Barcelona W, 1.0 for Granada). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 3–1 (8%), 3–0 (8%), 2–1 (7%).
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.46. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 3.50 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Barcelona W to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.01 |
| Double chance | Barcelona W or draw ✓ | 94% | 1.07 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 3.50 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 93% | 1.08 | 1.01 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.08 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.46 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Barcelona W ahead at half-time ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Barcelona W / FT Barcelona W ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 3–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.28 | – |
Form
Barcelona W – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Real Sociedad W | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Real Madrid W | 7–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | @ Roma W | 6–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Edf Logrono W | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | vs Paris FC W | 5–2 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ Deportivo Alavés W | 6–0 | W |
Granada – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Edf Logrono W | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Eibar W | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ FC Levante Badalona W | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Deportivo de La Coruña W | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Deportivo Alavés W | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Real Sociedad W | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barcelona W and Granada.
Primera División Femenina table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona W | 10 | +36 | 27 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid W | 10 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid W | 10 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Madrid CFF W | 10 | -5 | 17 |
| 5 |  Athletic Club W | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |  Espanyol W | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 |  Granad. Tenerife W | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad W | 10 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Eibar W | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Deportivo de La Coruña W | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Granada | 10 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Edf Logrono W | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Sevilla W | 10 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Alavés W | 9 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  FC Levante Badalona W | 10 | -11 | 8 |
| 16 |  Valencia W | 10 | -11 | 6 |
More Primera División Femenina predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Barcelona W vs Granada?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barcelona W vs Granada?
On our numbers Barcelona W have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Granada 6%.
How many goals will there be in Barcelona W vs Granada?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Barcelona W vs Granada?
Barcelona W vs Granada (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Johan Cruyff.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.