Primera División Femenina · Spain · Estadio Fernando TorresMadrid CFF W vs Deportivo Alavés W prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Madrid CFF W 1.9 – 1.1 Deportivo Alavés W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Madrid CFF W hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 25% for Deportivo Alavés W.
Madrid CFF W have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.3 per game. Deportivo Alavés W have 6 points from their last 4 (2W 0D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 for Madrid CFF W, 1.1 for Deportivo Alavés W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.28.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Madrid CFF W to win ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.75 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.53 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Madrid CFF W ahead at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.41 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Madrid CFF W / FT Madrid CFF W ✗ | 35% | 2.84 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.11 | – |
Form
Madrid CFF W – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Espanyol W | 1–5 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Sevilla W | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Valencia W | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Granada | 3–1 | W |
| 31 May | vs Barcelona W | 0–4 | L |
| 26 May | @ Granada | 4–3 | W |
Deportivo Alavés W – last 4
| 18 Sep | vs Barcelona W | 0–6 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Granada | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Atletico Madrid W | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Valencia W | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Madrid CFF W and Deportivo Alavés W.
Primera División Femenina table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona W | 10 | +36 | 27 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid W | 10 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid W | 10 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Madrid CFF W | 10 | -5 | 17 |
| 5 |  Athletic Club W | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |  Espanyol W | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 |  Granad. Tenerife W | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad W | 10 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Eibar W | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Deportivo de La Coruña W | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Granada | 10 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Edf Logrono W | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Sevilla W | 10 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Alavés W | 9 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  FC Levante Badalona W | 10 | -11 | 8 |
| 16 |  Valencia W | 10 | -11 | 6 |
More Primera División Femenina predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Madrid CFF W vs Deportivo Alavés W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Madrid CFF W vs Deportivo Alavés W?
On our numbers Madrid CFF W have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Deportivo Alavés W 25%.
How many goals will there be in Madrid CFF W vs Deportivo Alavés W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Madrid CFF W vs Deportivo Alavés W?
Madrid CFF W vs Deportivo Alavés W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fernando Torres.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.