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Primera División Femenina · Spain · Lezama Facilities

Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W prediction & analysis

61%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAtletico Madrid W to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33

Win chances

Athletic Club W34%fair 2.91 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Atletico Madrid W42%fair 2.40 · @2.10
2.88Expected goals
1.36Athletic Club W xG
1.52Atletico Madrid W xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Athletic Club W 1.4 – 1.5 Atletico Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Atletico Madrid W shade it despite being away from home – 42% to win, against 34% for Athletic Club W.

Athletic Club W have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Atletico Madrid W have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. Athletic Club W come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.9 goals (1.4 for Athletic Club W, 1.5 for Atletico Madrid W). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Athletic Club W have won 0, Atletico Madrid W have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.65.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Madrid W to win ✗42%2.402.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.48–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Madrid W / FT Atletico Madrid W ✗24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.33–

Form

Athletic Club W – last 6

LDWWWW
20 Sep@ Eibar W0–1L
12 Sepvs Espanyol W2–2D
6 Sep@ Edf Logrono W1–0W
30 Augvs FC Levante Badalona W3–1W
31 Mayvs Alhama W4–1W
2 May@ FC Levante Badalona1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Atletico Madrid W – last 6

WLWLLW
19 Sepvs Edf Logrono W1–0W
12 Sep@ Barcelona W2–4L
6 Sepvs Deportivo Alavés W1–0W
30 Aug@ Real Madrid W2–3L
31 May@ Real Sociedad W0–2L
3 Mayvs Eibar W4–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Athletic Club W v Atletico Madrid W1–2

Primera División Femenina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W10901+3627
2Real Madrid W10721+523
3Atletico Madrid W10613+1019
4Madrid CFF W10523-517
5Athletic Club W10442+216
6Espanyol W10433+315
7Granad. Tenerife W9423014
8Real Sociedad W10343-213
9Eibar W10334-312
10Deportivo de La Coruña W10325-211
11Granada10325-711
12Edf Logrono W10316-310
13Sevilla W10244-510
14Deportivo Alavés W9225-78
15FC Levante Badalona W10226-118
16Valencia W10208-116

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?

On our numbers Athletic Club W have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Madrid W 42%.

How many goals will there be in Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

When is Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?

Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Lezama Facilities.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.