Primera División Femenina · SpainAtletico Madrid W vs Deportivo Alavés W prediction & analysis
Atletico Madrid W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Atletico Madrid W 2.4 – 1.1 Deportivo Alavés W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Atletico Madrid W are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 14% for Deportivo Alavés W.
Atletico Madrid W have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Deportivo Alavés W have 3 points from their last 1 (1W 0D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. Deportivo Alavés W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (2.4 for Atletico Madrid W, 1.1 for Deportivo Alavés W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
Our pick is Atletico Madrid W to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.52.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atletico Madrid W to win ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | Atletico Madrid W or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Half-time result | Atletico Madrid W ahead at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atletico Madrid W / FT Atletico Madrid W ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.48 | – |
Form
Atletico Madrid W – last 6
| 30 Aug | @ Real Madrid W | 2–3 | L |
| 31 May | @ Real Sociedad W | 0–2 | L |
| 3 May | vs Eibar W | 4–0 | W |
| 25 Apr | @ FC Levante Badalona | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Apr | vs Deportivo de La Coruña W | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | @ Athletic Club W | 2–1 | W |
Deportivo Alavés W – last 1
| 30 Aug | vs Valencia W | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Madrid W and Deportivo Alavés W.
Primera División Femenina table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona W | 10 | +36 | 27 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid W | 10 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid W | 10 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Madrid CFF W | 10 | -5 | 17 |
| 5 |  Athletic Club W | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |  Espanyol W | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 |  Granad. Tenerife W | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad W | 10 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Eibar W | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Deportivo de La Coruña W | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Granada | 10 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Edf Logrono W | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Sevilla W | 10 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Alavés W | 9 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  FC Levante Badalona W | 10 | -11 | 8 |
| 16 |  Valencia W | 10 | -11 | 6 |
More Primera División Femenina predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atletico Madrid W vs Deportivo Alavés W?
Our pick is Atletico Madrid W to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Atletico Madrid W vs Deportivo Alavés W?
On our numbers Atletico Madrid W have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Deportivo Alavés W 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Madrid W vs Deportivo Alavés W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Atletico Madrid W vs Deportivo Alavés W?
Atletico Madrid W vs Deportivo Alavés W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.