Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · Spain
Castellonense
La Nucía
Castellonense vs La Nucía prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.91
Value bet: Castellonense to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Castellonense 1.4 – 1.2 La Nucía expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Castellonense hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 33% for La Nucía.
Castellonense have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. La Nucía have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Castellonense, 1.2 for La Nucía). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Castellonense to win at 2.62 is our value angle (43% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Castellonense to win | 43% | 2.34 | 2.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 76% | 1.31 | 1.40 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 57% | 1.76 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Castellonense / FT Castellonense | 24% | 4.08 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 10% | 10.06 | – |
Form
Castellonense – last 6
| 8 Nov | vs Alcoyano | 3–4 | L |
| 31 Oct | @ Valencia II | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Oct | vs Almeria | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Intercity | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Deportiva Minera | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Real Murcia II | 3–0 | W |
La Nucía – last 6
| 8 Nov | @ Atlético Baleares | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Nov | vs Intercity | 1–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Castellón II | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Lorca Deportiva | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Deportiva Minera | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Mallorca II | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellonense and La Nucía.
More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions
Castellón II
Deportiva Minera
GGBoth teams to score
62%@1.67
Alcoyano
Elche II
1Alcoyano to win
62%@1.70
Cieza
Valencia II
1XCieza or draw
82%@1.25
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Castellonense vs La Nucía?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Castellonense vs La Nucía?
On our numbers Castellonense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and La Nucía 33%.
How many goals will there be in Castellonense vs La Nucía?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Castellonense vs La Nucía?
Castellonense vs La Nucía (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.