Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · Spain · Estadio El Collao

Alcoyano

WDLLW
Wed 11 Nov 2026

Elche II

DLLWL

Alcoyano vs Elche II prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Alcoyano to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.70

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAlcoyano to win62% · @1.70
Double chanceAlcoyano or draw87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.06

Win chances

Alcoyano62%fair 1.61 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.10
Elche II13%fair 7.90 · @4.80
2.33Expected goals
1.69Alcoyano xG
0.64Elche II xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Alcoyano 1.7 – 0.6 Elche II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Alcoyano are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 13% for Elche II.

Alcoyano have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Elche II have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.3 scored and 3.0 conceded. Alcoyano come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.3 goals (1.7 for Alcoyano, 0.6 for Elche II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Alcoyano to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is better than our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlcoyano to win62%1.611.70 ▲
Double chanceAlcoyano or draw87%1.141.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.962.00
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.26–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alcoyano / FT Alcoyano39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%6.06–

Form

Alcoyano – last 6

WDLLWW
8 Nov@ Castellonense4–3W
1 Novvs Real Murcia II1–1D
25 Oct@ Atlético Baleares0–2L
11 Oct@ Ucam Murcia0–2L
4 Oct@ Mallorca II1–0W
27 Sepvs Deportiva Minera2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Elche II – last 6

DLLWLL
7 Nov@ Intercity2–2D
31 Octvs Castellón II1–5L
25 Oct@ Mallorca II0–4L
10 Octvs Valencia II4–1W
3 Octvs Ucam Murcia1–5L
27 Sep@ Yeclano0–1L
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alcoyano and Elche II.

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

Castellonense La Nucía 432433 GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.91 Castellón II Deportiva Minera 442234 GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.67 Cieza Valencia II 552718 1XCieza or draw 82%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alcoyano vs Elche II?

Our pick is Alcoyano to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Alcoyano vs Elche II?

On our numbers Alcoyano have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Elche II 13%.

How many goals will there be in Alcoyano vs Elche II?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

When is Alcoyano vs Elche II?

Alcoyano vs Elche II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Collao.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.