Segunda División RFEF Group 2 · SpainBarbastro vs Utebo prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Value bet: Utebo to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Barbastro 1.0 – 1.0 Utebo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Barbastro and Utebo on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Barbastro have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Utebo have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.0 for Barbastro, 1.0 for Utebo). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (14%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is close to our fair price of 1.97. For a bigger price, Utebo to win at 2.90 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Utebo to win ✗ | 39% | 2.59 | 2.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✓ | 22% | 4.59 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.21 | – |
Form
Barbastro – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Náxara | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Barcelona B | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Terrassa | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Girona II | 4–3 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Huesca | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Atlètic Lleida | 2–1 | W |
Utebo – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Reddis | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Olot | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs SD Logroñés | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Peña Sport | 1–1 | D |
| 17 May | @ Águilas | 1–2 | L |
| 3 May | @ Sestao River | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barbastro and Utebo.
Segunda División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona B | 10 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Terrassa | 10 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Espanyol II | 9 | +14 | 20 |
| 4 |  Girona II | 10 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 |  Olot | 10 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ebro | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Osasuna II | 10 | +5 | 17 |
| 8 |  Manresa | 10 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Reddis | 10 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Utebo | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Peña Sport | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Barbastro | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Tudelano | 10 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 |  UD Logroñés II | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  SD Logroñés | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Náxara | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Arnedo | 10 | -13 | 6 |
| 18 |  Calamocha | 10 | -14 | 5 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Barbastro vs Utebo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Barbastro vs Utebo?
On our numbers Barbastro have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Utebo 39%.
How many goals will there be in Barbastro vs Utebo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Barbastro vs Utebo?
Barbastro vs Utebo (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.