Segunda División RFEF Group 2 · SpainEbro vs Terrassa prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Value bet: Terrassa to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ebro 0.9 – 1.0 Terrassa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Ebro and Terrassa on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Ebro have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Terrassa have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 0.3 scored and 0.2 conceded. Terrassa come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.8 goals (0.9 for Ebro, 1.0 for Terrassa). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–0 (16%), 0–1 (15%), 1–0 (14%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.49. For a bigger price, Terrassa to win at 2.88 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Terrassa to win ✗ | 39% | 2.53 | 2.88 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 24% | 4.21 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.63 | – |
Form
Ebro – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Osasuna II | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Reddis | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Olot | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Huesca II | 0–1 | L |
| 3 May | vs UD Logroñés | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Apr | @ Utebo | 0–1 | L |
Terrassa – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Arnedo | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Binéfar | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Barbastro | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Sep | @ San Juan | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Castellón II | 1–0 | W |
| 3 May | vs Reddis | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ebro and Terrassa.
Segunda División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona B | 10 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Terrassa | 10 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Espanyol II | 9 | +14 | 20 |
| 4 |  Girona II | 10 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 |  Olot | 10 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ebro | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Osasuna II | 10 | +5 | 17 |
| 8 |  Manresa | 10 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Reddis | 10 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Utebo | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Peña Sport | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Barbastro | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Tudelano | 10 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 |  UD Logroñés II | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  SD Logroñés | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Náxara | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Arnedo | 10 | -13 | 6 |
| 18 |  Calamocha | 10 | -14 | 5 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ebro vs Terrassa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ebro vs Terrassa?
On our numbers Ebro have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Terrassa 39%.
How many goals will there be in Ebro vs Terrassa?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
When is Ebro vs Terrassa?
Ebro vs Terrassa (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.