Second League · Bulgaria · Ogosta StadiumMontana vs Spartak Pleven prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
Value bet: Montana to win @ 1.72 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Montana 2.1 – 0.9 Spartak Pleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Montana are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 14% for Spartak Pleven.
Montana have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Spartak Pleven have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. Spartak Pleven come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 for Montana, 0.9 for Spartak Pleven). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Montana have won 1, Spartak Pleven have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.21 is close to our fair price of 1.30. For a bigger price, Montana to win at 1.72 is our value angle (65% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Montana to win ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.72 ▲ |
| Double chance | Montana or draw ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.21 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.34 |
| Half-time result | Montana ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Montana / FT Montana ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.86 | – |
Form
Montana – last 6
| 28 Oct | @ Fratria | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | @ Dobrudzha | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Ludogorets II | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Bdin | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | vs Hebar 1918 | 0–5 | L |
Spartak Pleven – last 6
| 23 Oct | vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Levski Sofia | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Pirin Blagoevgrad | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Levski Krumovgrad | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Fratria | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | vs Ludogorets II | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 18 Jul 2026 | Montana v Spartak Pleven | 3–1 |
Second League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia II | 15 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Vihren | 15 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 4 |  Fratria | 14 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 |  Yantra 2019 | 15 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Hebar 1918 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 15 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 |  Beroe | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |  Ludogorets II | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 10 |  Spartak Pleven | 15 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 14 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 |  Rilski Sportist | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Marek | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |  Nesebar | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Montana | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 |  Sportist Svoge | 15 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 15 | -33 | 2 |
More Second League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Montana vs Spartak Pleven?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Montana vs Spartak Pleven?
On our numbers Montana have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spartak Pleven 14%.
How many goals will there be in Montana vs Spartak Pleven?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Montana vs Spartak Pleven?
Montana vs Spartak Pleven (Second League) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Ogosta Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.