Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Beroe to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarek to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.86
Marek vs Beroe preview and prediction
The match
Marek host Beroe in the Second League on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadion Bonchuk. Marek are 13th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Beroe sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Marek's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Chavdar Troyan 4–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Beroe's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat FK Minyor Pernik 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Marek and 1.0 for Beroe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marek 45%, draw 22%, Beroe 33%.
Value angle: Beroe to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Marek 1–1 Beroe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marek45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Beroe33%fair 3.04 · @3.40
2.30Expected goals
1.27Marek xG
1.03Beroe xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Marek 1.3 – 1.0 Beroe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marek to win✓
45%
2.23
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marek / FT Marek✓
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.86
–
Form
Marek – last 6
WDLWLW
4 Oct
@ Chavdar Troyan
4–0
W
26 Sep
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Rilski Sportist
1–3
L
13 Sep
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Yantra 2019
0–3
L
2 Sep
vs Nesebar
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Beroe – last 6
WWLWDD
4 Oct
@ FK Minyor Pernik
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Yantra 2019
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Nesebar
3–4
L
13 Sep
vs Sportist Svoge
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Dobrudzha
2–2
D
3 Sep
vs Montana
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marek and Beroe.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Marek vs Beroe?
On our numbers Marek have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Beroe 33%.
How many goals will there be in Marek vs Beroe?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marek vs Beroe?
Our predicted score is Marek 1–1 Beroe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Marek vs Beroe?
Marek vs Beroe (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bonchuk.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
