Second League · Bulgaria · Ogosta StadiumMontana vs Vihren prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Montana 1.3 – 1.4 Vihren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Montana and Vihren on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Montana have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Vihren have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. Vihren come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.3 for Montana, 1.4 for Vihren). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.85.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Vihren to win ✓ | 39% | 2.55 | 2.62 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Vihren / FT Vihren ✓ | 22% | 4.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.76 | – |
Form
Montana – last 6
| 3 Sep | @ Beroe | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Rilski Sportist | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Marek | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Aug | @ Yantra 2019 | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Aug | vs Nesebar | 3–1 | W |
Vihren – last 6
| 3 Sep | vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 4–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Spartak Pleven | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | vs Fratria | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Aug | @ Ludogorets II | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | @ Hebar 1918 | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montana and Vihren.
Second League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia II | 15 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Vihren | 15 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 4 |  Fratria | 14 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 |  Yantra 2019 | 15 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Hebar 1918 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 15 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 |  Beroe | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |  Ludogorets II | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 10 |  Spartak Pleven | 15 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 14 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 |  Rilski Sportist | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Marek | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |  Nesebar | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Montana | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 |  Sportist Svoge | 15 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 15 | -33 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Montana vs Vihren?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Montana vs Vihren?
On our numbers Montana have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vihren 39%.
How many goals will there be in Montana vs Vihren?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Montana vs Vihren?
Montana vs Vihren (Second League) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Ogosta Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.