Second League · Bulgaria · Stadion Georgi BenkovskiHebar 1918 vs Fratria prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Value bet: Fratria to win @ 2.60 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hebar 1918 1.2 – 1.5 Fratria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Fratria shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 35% for Hebar 1918.
Hebar 1918 have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.0 per game. Fratria have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. Fratria come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.2 for Hebar 1918, 1.5 for Fratria). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is close to our fair price of 1.96. For a bigger price, Fratria to win at 2.60 is our value angle (44% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Fratria to win ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | 2.60 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Fratria / FT Fratria ✗ | 25% | 4.07 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.25 | – |
Form
Hebar 1918 – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Ludogorets II | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | @ Pirin Blagoevgrad | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Aug | @ CSKA Sofia II | 3–4 | L |
| 2 Aug | vs Vihren | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Jul | @ Beroe | 1–2 | L |
Fratria – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs CSKA Sofia II | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | @ Vihren | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Aug | vs Beroe | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Rilski Sportist | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs Marek | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hebar 1918 and Fratria.
Second League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia II | 15 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Vihren | 15 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 4 |  Fratria | 14 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 |  Yantra 2019 | 15 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Hebar 1918 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 15 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 |  Beroe | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |  Ludogorets II | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 10 |  Spartak Pleven | 15 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 14 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 |  Rilski Sportist | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Marek | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |  Nesebar | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Montana | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 |  Sportist Svoge | 15 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 15 | -33 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hebar 1918 vs Fratria?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Hebar 1918 vs Fratria?
On our numbers Hebar 1918 have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fratria 44%.
How many goals will there be in Hebar 1918 vs Fratria?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Hebar 1918 vs Fratria?
Hebar 1918 vs Fratria (Second League) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.