Second League · Bulgaria · Hristo BotevPirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas prediction & analysis
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win @ 1.88 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.8 – 1.9 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 12% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Pirin Blagoevgrad have taken 0 points from their last 6 matches (0W 0D 6L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 3.7 per game. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (0.8 for Pirin Blagoevgrad, 1.9 for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Pirin Blagoevgrad have won 0, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw at a 88% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is better than our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win at 1.88 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.88 ▲ |
| Double chance | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.20 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.86 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | 1.32 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.66 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | 1.21 |
| Half-time result | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas / FT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas ✓ | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.58 | – |
Form
Pirin Blagoevgrad – last 6
| 23 Aug | @ Nesebar | 0–7 | L |
| 18 Aug | vs Hebar 1918 | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Sportist Svoge | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Aug | vs CSKA Sofia II | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Jul | @ Dobrudzha | 1–5 | L |
| 23 May | @ Fratria | 0–3 | L |
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – last 6
| 23 Aug | @ Hebar 1918 | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | vs CSKA Sofia II | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Vihren | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Beroe | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | @ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Jul | @ Botev Plovdiv | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
| 9 Apr 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas v Pirin Blagoevgrad | 2–0 |
Second League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia II | 15 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Vihren | 15 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 4 |  Fratria | 14 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 |  Yantra 2019 | 15 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Hebar 1918 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 15 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 |  Beroe | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |  Ludogorets II | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 10 |  Spartak Pleven | 15 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 14 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 |  Rilski Sportist | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Marek | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |  Nesebar | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Montana | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 |  Sportist Svoge | 15 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 15 | -33 | 2 |
More Second League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our pick is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
On our numbers Pirin Blagoevgrad have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 63%.
How many goals will there be in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.