Second League · Bulgaria · Stadion BeroeBeroe vs Ludogorets II prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Value bet: Ludogorets II to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Beroe 1.2 – 1.2 Ludogorets II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Beroe and Ludogorets II on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Beroe have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.8 per game. Ludogorets II have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. Ludogorets II come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Beroe, 1.2 for Ludogorets II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Ludogorets II to win at 3.25 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Beroe to win ✓ | 39% | 2.57 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.94 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Beroe / FT Beroe ✗ | 21% | 4.78 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.88 | – |
Form
Beroe – last 6
| 1 Aug | @ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Jul | vs Hebar 1918 | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Jul | vs Zagorets | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Jul | vs Maritsa Milevo | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Jul | @ Botev Plovdiv | 0–4 | L |
| 22 May | @ Botev Vratsa | 0–3 | L |
Ludogorets II – last 6
| 3 Aug | vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jul | @ Rilski Sportist | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Jul | @ Yantra 2019 | 2–3 | L |
| 23 May | vs Spartak Pleven | 3–1 | W |
| 11 May | vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 3–1 | W |
| 4 May | @ Hebar 1918 | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beroe and Ludogorets II.
Second League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia II | 15 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Vihren | 15 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 4 |  Fratria | 14 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 |  Yantra 2019 | 15 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Hebar 1918 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 15 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 |  Beroe | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |  Ludogorets II | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 10 |  Spartak Pleven | 15 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 14 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 |  Rilski Sportist | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Marek | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |  Nesebar | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Montana | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 |  Sportist Svoge | 15 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 15 | -33 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Beroe vs Ludogorets II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Beroe vs Ludogorets II?
On our numbers Beroe have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ludogorets II 37%.
How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Ludogorets II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Beroe vs Ludogorets II?
Beroe vs Ludogorets II (Second League) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Beroe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.