Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadio Enrique Roca

Real Murcia

WLDWL
1–1
FT

Algeciras

LWWLW

Real Murcia vs Algeciras prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Real Murcia to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultReal Murcia to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceReal Murcia or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.76

Win chances

Real Murcia64%fair 1.56 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
Algeciras13%fair 7.55 · @4.10
2.51Expected goals
1.82Real Murcia xG
0.69Algeciras xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Real Murcia 1.8 – 0.7 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Real Murcia are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 13% for Algeciras.

Real Murcia have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 0.3 per game. Algeciras have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Real Murcia, 0.7 for Algeciras). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Real Murcia to win at 1.70 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Murcia to win ✗64%1.561.70 ▲
Double chanceReal Murcia or draw ✓87%1.151.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.961.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Half-time resultReal Murcia ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia ✗41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.76–

Form

Real Murcia – last 6

WLDWLW
1 Nov@ Antequera1–0W
24 Oct@ Juventud Torremolinos0–1L
18 Octvs Zaragoza0–0D
11 Oct@ Rayo Majadahonda1–0W
7 Oct@ FC Cartagena0–1L
4 Octvs Gimnastic2–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Algeciras – last 6

LWWLWW
2 Nov@ Real Jaén2–3L
25 Octvs Real Madrid II2–0W
17 Octvs Hércules2–0W
11 Oct@ Europa Fc1–2L
4 Octvs Rayo Majadahonda1–0W
26 Sep@ Juventud Torremolinos2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia and Algeciras.

More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions

FT Águilas1 Gimnastic1 622513 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓ FT Europa Fc3 Atlético Madrid II2 362144 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓ FT Teruel1 Ibiza1 282151 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓ FT Villarreal II1 Juventud Torremolinos1 622017 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓ FT Real Madrid II2 Hércules2 622315 1XReal Madrid II or draw 85%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Murcia vs Algeciras?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Real Murcia vs Algeciras?

On our numbers Real Murcia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Algeciras 13%.

How many goals will there be in Real Murcia vs Algeciras?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

When is Real Murcia vs Algeciras?

Real Murcia vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Enrique Roca.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.