Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain
Águilas
Gimnastic
Águilas vs Gimnastic prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Águilas to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Águilas 1.8 – 0.7 Gimnastic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Águilas are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 13% for Gimnastic.
Águilas have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 per game. Gimnastic have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded. Gimnastic come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Águilas, 0.7 for Gimnastic). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Águilas to win at 1.80 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Águilas to win ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Águilas or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | 2.00 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Águilas ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Águilas / FT Águilas ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.05 | – |
Form
Águilas – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Juventud Torremolinos | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Oct | @ Antequera | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Teruel | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Ibiza | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Huesca | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ FC Cartagena | 1–4 | L |
Gimnastic – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Huesca | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Hércules | 4–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Atlético Madrid II | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Juventud Torremolinos | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Real Murcia | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Sant Andreu | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas and Gimnastic.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Águilas vs Gimnastic?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Águilas vs Gimnastic?
On our numbers Águilas have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gimnastic 13%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas vs Gimnastic?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Águilas vs Gimnastic?
Águilas vs Gimnastic (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.