Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Hércules to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHércules to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceHércules or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.01
Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 2 sees Hércules take on Rayo Majadahonda on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT). Hércules are 7th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Rayo Majadahonda sit 19th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Hércules's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Gimnastic 2–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rayo Majadahonda's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Ciudad de Lucena 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Hércules arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Hércules and 0.5 for Rayo Majadahonda. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Hércules to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hércules 1–0 Rayo Majadahonda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hércules63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.00
Rayo Majadahonda15%fair 6.50 · @4.60
2.00Expected goals
1.47Hércules xG
0.53Rayo Majadahonda xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hércules 1.5 – 0.5 Rayo Majadahonda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hércules to win✓
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Hércules or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hércules / FT Hércules✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.01
–
Form
Hércules – last 6
LLWDWW
25 Oct
@ Gimnastic
2–4
L
17 Oct
@ Algeciras
0–2
L
12 Oct
vs Sant Andreu
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Real Jaén
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Águilas
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Juventud Torremolinos
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rayo Majadahonda – last 6
WWLLLL
27 Oct
@ Ciudad de Lucena
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Sant Andreu
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Real Jaén
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Real Murcia
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Algeciras
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Europa Fc
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hércules and Rayo Majadahonda.
What is the prediction for Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our pick is Hércules to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda?
On our numbers Hércules have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rayo Majadahonda 15%.
How many goals will there be in Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our predicted score is Hércules 1–0 Rayo Majadahonda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
