Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Nuevo Estadio de La VictoriaReal Jaén vs Rayo Majadahonda prediction & analysis
Real Jaén or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Real Jaén 1.5 – 0.8 Rayo Majadahonda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Real Jaén hold the edge on home soil with a 55% chance of winning, against 21% for Rayo Majadahonda.
Real Jaén have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Rayo Majadahonda have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. Real Jaén come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.5 for Real Jaén, 0.8 for Rayo Majadahonda). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (11%).
Our pick is Real Jaén or draw at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.27.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Real Jaén to win ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Real Jaén or draw ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Real Jaén / FT Real Jaén ✓ | 32% | 3.08 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 15% | 6.59 | – |
Form
Real Jaén – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Villarreal II | 3–3 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Hércules | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Antequera | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Ibiza | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Teruel | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Huesca | 2–2 | D |
Rayo Majadahonda – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Real Murcia | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Algeciras | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Europa Fc | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Teruel | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs FC Cartagena | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Ibiza | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Jaén and Rayo Majadahonda.
Primera División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaragoza | 11 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Villarreal II | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  Real Murcia | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Real Jaén | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Alcorcon | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ibiza | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Hércules | 11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Cartagena | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gimnastic | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Antequera | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Sant Andreu | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atlético Madrid II | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Europa Fc | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 11 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 11 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 |  Teruel | 11 | -13 | 7 |
More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Real Jaén vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our pick is Real Jaén or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Rayo Majadahonda?
On our numbers Real Jaén have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rayo Majadahonda 21%.
How many goals will there be in Real Jaén vs Rayo Majadahonda?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Real Jaén vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Real Jaén vs Rayo Majadahonda (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.