Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadio Nuevo MiradorAlgeciras vs Hércules prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Hércules to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Algeciras 1.1 – 1.3 Hércules expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Hércules shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 33% for Algeciras.
Algeciras have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Hércules have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. Hércules come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.1 for Algeciras, 1.3 for Hércules). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 50% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.98. For a bigger price, Hércules to win at 2.50 is our value angle (44% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hércules to win ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.98 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Hércules / FT Hércules ✗ | 24% | 4.15 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.18 | – |
Form
Algeciras – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Europa Fc | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Rayo Majadahonda | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Juventud Torremolinos | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Águilas | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | @ Gimnastic | 2–4 | L |
| 4 Sep | @ Villarreal II | 1–2 | L |
Hércules – last 6
| 12 Oct | vs Sant Andreu | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Real Jaén | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Águilas | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Juventud Torremolinos | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Europa Fc | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Atlético Madrid II | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Algeciras and Hércules.
Primera División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaragoza | 11 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Villarreal II | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  Real Murcia | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Real Jaén | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Alcorcon | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ibiza | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Hércules | 11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Cartagena | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gimnastic | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Antequera | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Sant Andreu | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atlético Madrid II | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Europa Fc | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 11 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 11 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 |  Teruel | 11 | -13 | 7 |
More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Algeciras vs Hércules?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Algeciras vs Hércules?
On our numbers Algeciras have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hércules 44%.
How many goals will there be in Algeciras vs Hércules?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Algeciras vs Hércules?
Algeciras vs Hércules (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.