Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadio Cerro del EspinoRayo Majadahonda vs Real Murcia prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rayo Majadahonda 1.2 – 1.2 Real Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Rayo Majadahonda and Real Murcia on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Rayo Majadahonda have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Real Murcia have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Rayo Majadahonda, 1.2 for Real Murcia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.83.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rayo Majadahonda to win ✗ | 38% | 2.66 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.44 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.77 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rayo Majadahonda / FT Rayo Majadahonda ✗ | 21% | 4.77 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.21 | – |
Form
Rayo Majadahonda – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Algeciras | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Europa Fc | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Teruel | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs FC Cartagena | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Ibiza | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Villarreal II | 1–2 | L |
Real Murcia – last 6
| 7 Oct | @ FC Cartagena | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Gimnastic | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | @ Navalcarnero | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Europa Fc | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Orihuela | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Atlético Madrid II | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayo Majadahonda and Real Murcia.
Primera División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaragoza | 11 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Villarreal II | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  Real Murcia | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Real Jaén | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Alcorcon | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ibiza | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Hércules | 11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Cartagena | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gimnastic | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Antequera | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Sant Andreu | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atlético Madrid II | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Europa Fc | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 11 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 11 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 |  Teruel | 11 | -13 | 7 |
More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Murcia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Murcia?
On our numbers Rayo Majadahonda have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Real Murcia 36%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Murcia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Murcia?
Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Murcia (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cerro del Espino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.