Primera División RFEF Group 2 · SpainReal Madrid II vs Atlético Madrid II prediction & analysis
Real Madrid II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Real Madrid II 1.5 – 0.7 Atlético Madrid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Real Madrid II are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 19% for Atlético Madrid II.
Real Madrid II have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Atlético Madrid II have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.5 for Real Madrid II, 0.7 for Atlético Madrid II). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Real Madrid II to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.61.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Real Madrid II to win ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.87 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Real Madrid II / FT Real Madrid II ✗ | 36% | 2.79 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 5.83 | – |
Form
Real Madrid II – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Alcorcon | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | @ Sant Andreu | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Águilas | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Juventud Torremolinos | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Teruel | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Aug | vs Atlético Baleares | 0–2 | L |
Atlético Madrid II – last 6
| 25 Sep | vs Villarreal II | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Huesca | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Real Murcia | 4–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Hércules | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Juventud Torremolinos | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Aug | vs Mirandes | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid II and Atlético Madrid II.
Primera División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaragoza | 11 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Villarreal II | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  Real Murcia | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Real Jaén | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Alcorcon | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ibiza | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Hércules | 11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Cartagena | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gimnastic | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Antequera | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Sant Andreu | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atlético Madrid II | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Europa Fc | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 11 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 11 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 |  Teruel | 11 | -13 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Real Madrid II vs Atlético Madrid II?
Our pick is Real Madrid II to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Real Madrid II vs Atlético Madrid II?
On our numbers Real Madrid II have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atlético Madrid II 19%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid II vs Atlético Madrid II?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Real Madrid II vs Atlético Madrid II?
Real Madrid II vs Atlético Madrid II (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.