Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Nou Estadi de TarragonaGimnastic vs Algeciras prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Value bet: Algeciras to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gimnastic 1.2 – 1.0 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gimnastic hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 34% for Algeciras.
Gimnastic have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Algeciras have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.0 conceded. Gimnastic come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Gimnastic, 1.0 for Algeciras). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Gimnastic have won 0, Algeciras have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.86. For a bigger price, Algeciras to win at 3.30 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gimnastic to win ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gimnastic / FT Gimnastic ✓ | 23% | 4.27 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.72 | – |
Form
Gimnastic – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ FC Cartagena | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Zaragoza | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Espanyol II | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Aug | vs Huesca | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Girona | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | @ Olot | 1–1 | D |
Algeciras – last 6
| 4 Sep | @ Villarreal II | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs FC Cartagena | 1–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 1–1 | D |
| 1 May | vs FC Cartagena | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | @ Villarreal II | 0–4 | L |
| 5 Apr | vs Ibiza | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 22 Mar 2026 | Algeciras v Gimnastic | 1–0 |
Primera División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaragoza | 11 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Villarreal II | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  Real Murcia | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Real Jaén | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Alcorcon | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ibiza | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Hércules | 11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Cartagena | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gimnastic | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Antequera | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Sant Andreu | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atlético Madrid II | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Europa Fc | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 11 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 11 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 |  Teruel | 11 | -13 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gimnastic vs Algeciras?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Gimnastic vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Gimnastic have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Algeciras 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnastic vs Algeciras?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Gimnastic vs Algeciras?
Gimnastic vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Nou Estadi de Tarragona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.