Primera División RFEF Group 1 · Spain

Cultural Leonesa

LWLDW
1–1
FT

Ponferradina

DDDDL

Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Ponferradina to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultCultural Leonesa to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.17

Win chances

Cultural Leonesa46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Ponferradina32%fair 3.15 · @3.40
1.90Expected goals
1.08Cultural Leonesa xG
0.82Ponferradina xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%

From our goals model: Cultural Leonesa 1.1 – 0.8 Ponferradina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Cultural Leonesa hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 32% for Ponferradina.

Cultural Leonesa have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Ponferradina have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.

We expect around 1.9 goals (1.1 for Cultural Leonesa, 0.8 for Ponferradina). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 0–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%).

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.50. For a bigger price, Ponferradina to win at 3.40 is our value angle (32% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCultural Leonesa to win ✗46%2.192.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.961.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.681.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.501.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.201.17
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cultural Leonesa / FT Cultural Leonesa ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.17–

Form

Cultural Leonesa – last 6

LWLDWL
1 Nov@ UD Ourense0–1L
27 Oct@ Gimnástica Segoviana1–0W
24 Octvs Pontevedra1–2L
18 Oct@ UD Logroñés1–1D
12 Octvs Arenas Getxo4–1W
3 Oct@ Unionistas de Salamanca0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ponferradina – last 6

DDDDLW
31 Oct@ Racing Ferrol0–0D
27 Oct@ Llanera1–1D
24 Octvs Barakaldo0–0D
17 Oct@ Zamora1–1D
11 Octvs Real Avilés0–2L
4 Octvs Mirandes1–0W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cultural Leonesa and Ponferradina.

More Primera División RFEF Group 1 predictions

FT Arenas Getxo2 Deportivo La Coruña II1 442135 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓ FT Mérida AD2 Athletic Club II0 392437 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓ FT Mirandes0 CD Coria2 612316 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina?

On our numbers Cultural Leonesa have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ponferradina 32%.

How many goals will there be in Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

When is Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina?

Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.