Primera División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Estadio Romano Jose Fouto
Mérida AD
Athletic Club II
Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mérida AD 1.4 – 1.4 Athletic Club II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Mérida AD and Athletic Club II on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Mérida AD have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Athletic Club II have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for Mérida AD, 1.4 for Athletic Club II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Mérida AD have won 0, Athletic Club II have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.33.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mérida AD to win ✓ | 39% | 2.53 | 2.35 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mérida AD / FT Mérida AD ✓ | 23% | 4.41 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 11.58 | – |
Form
Mérida AD – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Lugo | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs CD Coria | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Arenas Getxo | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Pontevedra | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Cacereño | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs UD Logroñés | 3–5 | L |
Athletic Club II – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Cacereño | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Unionistas de Salamanca | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ CD Coria | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Real Unión | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Extremadura 1924 | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Arenas Getxo | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 20 Mar 2026 | Athletic Club II v Mérida AD | 1–1 |
More Primera División RFEF Group 1 predictions
Arenas Getxo2
Deportivo La Coruña II1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
76%@1.25
✓
FT
Cultural Leonesa1
Ponferradina1
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
66%@1.50
✓
FT
Mirandes0
CD Coria2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.25
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?
On our numbers Mérida AD have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Athletic Club II 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?
Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.