La Liga · SpainSevilla vs Alaves prediction & analysis
Sevilla or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Sevilla to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sevilla 1.8 – 0.9 Alaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sevilla are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 19% for Alaves.
Sevilla have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Alaves have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.0 conceded. Sevilla come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.8 for Sevilla, 0.9 for Alaves). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Sevilla or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.24. For a bigger price, Sevilla to win at 1.85 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sevilla to win ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Sevilla or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.87 | 2.05 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Sevilla ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sevilla / FT Sevilla ✗ | 37% | 2.67 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.24 | – |
Form
Sevilla – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Getafe | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | @ Hortaleza | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | vs Osasuna | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Real Madrid | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Oct | @ Levante | 3–3 | D |
| 2 Oct | vs Aston Villa | 1–3 | L |
Alaves – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Barcelona | 1–6 | L |
| 23 Oct | vs Malaga | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Celta Vigo | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Athletic Club | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | vs Valencia | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla and Alaves.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | +35 | 33 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 12 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | -14 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sevilla vs Alaves?
Our pick is Sevilla or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sevilla vs Alaves?
On our numbers Sevilla have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Alaves 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Alaves?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Sevilla vs Alaves?
Sevilla vs Alaves (La Liga) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.