La Liga · Spain · Estadio Manuel Martínez ValeroElche vs Valencia prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Valencia to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Elche 1.4 – 1.3 Valencia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Elche and Valencia on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Elche have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Valencia have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. Elche come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for Elche, 1.3 for Valencia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is close to our fair price of 1.75. For a bigger price, Valencia to win at 3.00 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Elche to win ✗ | 40% | 2.48 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.39 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Elche / FT Elche ✗ | 23% | 4.31 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 10.96 | – |
Form
Elche – last 6
| 27 Oct | @ Pinatar | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Rayo Vallecano | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Villarreal | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Celta Vigo | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | @ Espanyol | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs Real Madrid | 2–3 | L |
Valencia – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Villarreal | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Athletic Club | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Racing Santander | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Real Sociedad | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Sep | @ Alaves | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | @ Sevilla | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elche and Valencia.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | +35 | 33 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 12 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | -14 | 5 |
More La Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Elche vs Valencia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Elche vs Valencia?
On our numbers Elche have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valencia 36%.
How many goals will there be in Elche vs Valencia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Elche vs Valencia?
Elche vs Valencia (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.