La Liga · Spain · Estadio Ramón Sánchez-PizjuánSevilla vs Osasuna prediction & analysis
Sevilla to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sevilla 2.0 – 1.2 Osasuna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sevilla hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 23% for Osasuna.
Sevilla have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.2 per game. Osasuna have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 for Sevilla, 1.2 for Osasuna). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Sevilla to win at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sevilla to win ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.33 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Half-time result | Sevilla ahead at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sevilla / FT Sevilla ✓ | 36% | 2.81 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.22 | – |
Form
Sevilla – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Real Madrid | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Oct | @ Levante | 3–3 | D |
| 2 Oct | vs Aston Villa | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Barcelona | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Deportivo La Coruna | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Valencia | 1–0 | W |
Osasuna – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Racing Santander | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Real Betis | 2–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | @ Atletico Madrid | 0–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Espanyol | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Alaves | 2–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla and Osasuna.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | +35 | 33 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 12 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | -14 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sevilla vs Osasuna?
Our pick is Sevilla to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Sevilla vs Osasuna?
On our numbers Sevilla have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Osasuna 23%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Osasuna?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Sevilla vs Osasuna?
Sevilla vs Osasuna (La Liga) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.