Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Valencia to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultValencia to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.35
Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo La Coruna host Valencia in the La Liga on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Estadio Riazor. Deportivo La Coruna are 9th with 15 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Valencia sit 19th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Deportivo La Coruna's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Malaga 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Valencia's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Real Betis 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Deportivo La Coruna and 0.9 for Valencia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo La Coruna 35%, draw 26%, Valencia 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Valencia to win at 3.00 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Deportivo La Coruna 0–0 Valencia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo La Coruna35%fair 2.86 · @2.48
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.00
Valencia39%fair 2.54 · @3.00
1.77Expected goals
0.84Deportivo La Coruna xG
0.92Valencia xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Coruna 0.8 – 0.9 Valencia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valencia to win✗
39%
2.54
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.57 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.35
–
Form
Deportivo La Coruna – last 6
DDLWDD
24 Aug
@ Malaga
1–1
D
17 Aug
vs Elche
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Real Madrid
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Genoa
1–0
W
6 Aug
@ Fiorentina
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ FC St. Pauli
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Valencia – last 6
LDLDWL
25 Aug
vs Real Betis
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Celta Vigo
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Newcastle
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Stoke City
1–1
D
28 Jul
@ Derby
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Castellón
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Coruna and Valencia.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
On our numbers Deportivo La Coruna have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Valencia 39%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Coruna 0–0 Valencia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Riazor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
