Segunda División · Spain · Nuevo Pepico AmatEldense vs Oviedo prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Oviedo to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Eldense 0.8 – 0.9 Oviedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Oviedo shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 34% for Eldense.
Eldense have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Oviedo have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. Oviedo come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.7 goals (0.8 for Eldense, 0.9 for Oviedo). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely. Most likely scores: 0–0 (18%), 0–1 (17%), 1–0 (14%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 50% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is close to our fair price of 1.99. For a bigger price, Oviedo to win at 2.75 is our value angle (43% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Oviedo to win ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | 2.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 26% | 3.89 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 17% | 5.89 | – |
Form
Eldense – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Burgos | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Eibar | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Sporting Gijon | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Mallorca | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Leganes | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Cadiz | 2–2 | D |
Oviedo – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Sporting Gijon | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Sabadell | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Valladolid | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Burgos | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Albacete | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Leganes | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eldense and Oviedo.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Eldense vs Oviedo?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Eldense vs Oviedo?
On our numbers Eldense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oviedo 43%.
How many goals will there be in Eldense vs Oviedo?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Eldense vs Oviedo?
Eldense vs Oviedo (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Pepico Amat.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.