Segunda División · Spain · Estadio Municipal de MontiliviGirona vs Castellón prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
Value bet: Castellón to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Girona 1.3 – 1.2 Castellón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Girona hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 35% for Castellón.
Girona have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Castellón have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Girona, 1.2 for Castellón). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Girona have won 0, Castellón have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 6.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.63. For a bigger price, Castellón to win at 3.10 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Girona to win ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Girona / FT Girona ✗ | 24% | 4.23 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.10 | – |
Form
Girona – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Sporting Gijon | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Las Palmas | 5–2 | W |
| 21 Aug | @ Cordoba | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Leganes | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Gimnastic | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Aug | vs Sabadell | 2–2 | D |
Castellón – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Albacete | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Celta de Vigo II | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Sabadell | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Aug | @ Real Sociedad II | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Levante | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Aug | @ Hércules | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 29 Jul 2026 | Girona v Castellón | 3–3 |
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Girona vs Castellón?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Girona vs Castellón?
On our numbers Girona have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Castellón 35%.
How many goals will there be in Girona vs Castellón?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Girona vs Castellón?
Girona vs Castellón (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.