III Liga Group 1 · PolandJagiellonia II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. prediction & analysis
Jagiellonia II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Jagiellonia II 2.2 – 1.3 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Jagiellonia II are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 24% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
Jagiellonia II have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. Polonia Lidzbark Warm. come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (2.2 for Jagiellonia II, 1.3 for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Jagiellonia II to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is better than our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Jagiellonia II to win ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Half-time result | Jagiellonia II ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Jagiellonia II / FT Jagiellonia II ✗ | 38% | 2.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 10% | 10.47 | – |
Form
Jagiellonia II – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Olimpia Elbląg | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Swit | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Oct | vs Troszyn | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Ząbkovia Ząbki | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Sep | @ Wisła Płock II | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs ŁKS Łódź II | 2–3 | L |
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs ŁKS Łódź II | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Mławianka Mława | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Łomża | 3–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Weszlo | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Pelikan Łowicz | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia II and Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
III Liga Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Weszlo | 16 | +14 | 35 |
| 2 |  Wigry Suwałki | 16 | +16 | 34 |
| 3 |  Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 16 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Swit | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 5 |  Warta Sieradz | 16 | +6 | 28 |
| 6 |  Ząbkovia Ząbki | 16 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 |  Wisła Płock II | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 8 |  Pelikan Łowicz | 16 | +2 | 24 |
| 9 |  Olimpia Zambrów | 16 | +1 | 24 |
| 10 |  ŁKS Łódź II | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 |  Olimpia Elbląg | 16 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 |  Jagiellonia II | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| 13 |  Widzew II | 16 | +2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 16 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 |  Mławianka Mława | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 17 |  Troszyn | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Łomża | 16 | -20 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Our pick is Jagiellonia II to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
On our numbers Jagiellonia II have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 24%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Jagiellonia II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Jagiellonia II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.