III Liga Group 1 · PolandZąbkovia Ząbki vs Jagiellonia II prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ząbkovia Ząbki 2.0 – 1.7 Jagiellonia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ząbkovia Ząbki hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 34% for Jagiellonia II.
Ząbkovia Ząbki have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Jagiellonia II have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 2.2 scored and 2.5 conceded. Ząbkovia Ząbki come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.0 for Ząbkovia Ząbki, 1.7 for Jagiellonia II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (8%), 1–1 (8%), 2–2 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.46.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ząbkovia Ząbki to win ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time result | Ząbkovia Ząbki ahead at half-time ✗ | 37% | 2.74 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ząbkovia Ząbki / FT Ząbkovia Ząbki ✗ | 28% | 3.55 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 11.80 | – |
Form
Ząbkovia Ząbki – last 6
| 25 Sep | vs Mławianka Mława | 3–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | @ Łomża | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Weszlo | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Pelikan Łowicz | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Warta Sieradz | 4–0 | W |
Jagiellonia II – last 6
| 25 Sep | @ Wisła Płock II | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs ŁKS Łódź II | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Mławianka Mława | 7–4 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Łomża | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Weszlo | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ząbkovia Ząbki and Jagiellonia II.
III Liga Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Weszlo | 16 | +14 | 35 |
| 2 |  Wigry Suwałki | 16 | +16 | 34 |
| 3 |  Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 16 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Swit | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 5 |  Warta Sieradz | 16 | +6 | 28 |
| 6 |  Ząbkovia Ząbki | 16 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 |  Wisła Płock II | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 8 |  Pelikan Łowicz | 16 | +2 | 24 |
| 9 |  Olimpia Zambrów | 16 | +1 | 24 |
| 10 |  ŁKS Łódź II | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 |  Olimpia Elbląg | 16 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 |  Jagiellonia II | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| 13 |  Widzew II | 16 | +2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 16 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 |  Mławianka Mława | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 17 |  Troszyn | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Łomża | 16 | -20 | 4 |
More III Liga Group 1 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Jagiellonia II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Jagiellonia II?
On our numbers Ząbkovia Ząbki have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jagiellonia II 34%.
How many goals will there be in Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Jagiellonia II?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Jagiellonia II?
Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Jagiellonia II (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.