III Liga Group 1 · PolandWidzew II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Widzew II 1.7 – 1.7 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Widzew II and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Widzew II have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 3.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.7 for Widzew II, 1.7 for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.54.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Widzew II to win ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 37% | 2.74 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Widzew II / FT Widzew II ✗ | 23% | 4.26 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.19 | – |
Form
Widzew II – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Wisła Płock II | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Olimpia Zambrów | 4–3 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Olimpia Elbląg | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Swit | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Ząbkovia Ząbki | 0–1 | L |
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Olimpia Zambrów | 5–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Olimpia Elbląg | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Aug | @ Swit | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs Ząbkovia Ząbki | 3–2 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Troszyn | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Widzew II and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
III Liga Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Weszlo | 16 | +14 | 35 |
| 2 |  Wigry Suwałki | 16 | +16 | 34 |
| 3 |  Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 16 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Swit | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 5 |  Warta Sieradz | 16 | +6 | 28 |
| 6 |  Ząbkovia Ząbki | 16 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 |  Wisła Płock II | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 8 |  Pelikan Łowicz | 16 | +2 | 24 |
| 9 |  Olimpia Zambrów | 16 | +1 | 24 |
| 10 |  ŁKS Łódź II | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 |  Olimpia Elbląg | 16 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 |  Jagiellonia II | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| 13 |  Widzew II | 16 | +2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 16 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 |  Mławianka Mława | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 17 |  Troszyn | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Łomża | 16 | -20 | 4 |
More III Liga Group 1 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Widzew II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Widzew II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?
On our numbers Widzew II have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 38%.
How many goals will there be in Widzew II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Widzew II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?
Widzew II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.