Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Polonia Środa to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolonia Środa to win ✗63% · @1.62
Double chancePolonia Środa or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 13.65
Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa preview and prediction
The match
Polonia Środa travel to face Grom Nowy Staw in the III Liga Group 2 on Saturday 5 September (12:00 WAT). Grom Nowy Staw are 13th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Polonia Środa sit 1st on 37 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Grom Nowy Staw's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Lech Poznań II 4–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Polonia Środa's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Sandecja Nowy Sącz 3–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
Polonia Środa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.6 goals: 1.6 for Grom Nowy Staw and 3.0 for Polonia Środa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Polonia Środa to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Grom Nowy Staw 1–3 Polonia Środa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grom Nowy Staw14%fair 7.37 · @4.20
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.60
Polonia Środa63%fair 1.59 · @1.62
4.58Expected goals
1.57Grom Nowy Staw xG
3.01Polonia Środa xG
59%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–37%
1–27%
2–36%
2–26%
1–46%
1–15%
From our goals model: Grom Nowy Staw 1.6 – 3.0 Polonia Środa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Środa to win✗
63%
1.59
1.62
Double chance
Polonia Środa or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Polonia Środa ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Środa / FT Polonia Środa✗
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
13.65
–
Form
Grom Nowy Staw – last 6
WLLLWL
29 Aug
@ Lech Poznań II
4–2
W
23 Aug
vs Kluczevia Stargard
3–4
L
19 Aug
@ Wda Świecie
2–4
L
15 Aug
vs Elana Toruń
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Noteć Czarnków
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Unia Swarzędz
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Polonia Środa – last 6
WWWWWW
1 Sep
vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz
3–2
W
28 Aug
vs Gedania Gdansk
4–3
W
22 Aug
@ Lipno Stęszew
3–2
W
19 Aug
vs Stargard Szczeciński
4–1
W
14 Aug
@ Chemik Bydgoszcz
4–1
W
7 Aug
vs Victoria Września
1–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grom Nowy Staw and Polonia Środa.
What is the prediction for Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa?
Our pick is Polonia Środa to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa?
On our numbers Grom Nowy Staw have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Polonia Środa 63%.
How many goals will there be in Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa?
Our predicted score is Grom Nowy Staw 1–3 Polonia Środa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa?
Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
