III Liga Group 2 · Poland · Amica Wronki StadiumLech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw prediction & analysis
Lech Poznań II to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lech Poznań II 2.7 – 1.2 Grom Nowy Staw expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lech Poznań II are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 13% for Grom Nowy Staw.
Lech Poznań II have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. Grom Nowy Staw have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded. Lech Poznań II come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.9 goals (2.7 for Lech Poznań II, 1.2 for Grom Nowy Staw). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Lech Poznań II to win at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is better than our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lech Poznań II to win ✗ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Lech Poznań II or draw ✗ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 1.98 | 1.63 |
| Half-time result | Lech Poznań II ahead at half-time ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lech Poznań II / FT Lech Poznań II ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.29 | – |
Form
Lech Poznań II – last 6
| 23 Aug | @ Gedania Gdansk | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Aug | vs Lipno Stęszew | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Stargard Szczeciński | 2–4 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Chemik Bydgoszcz | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | @ Victoria Września | 5–2 | W |
| 25 Jul | @ Kalisz | 2–2 | D |
Grom Nowy Staw – last 6
| 23 Aug | vs Kluczevia Stargard | 3–4 | L |
| 19 Aug | @ Wda Świecie | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Elana Toruń | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Noteć Czarnków | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Unia Swarzędz | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Jul | vs Olimpia Elbląg | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lech Poznań II and Grom Nowy Staw.
III Liga Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 16 | +22 | 37 |
| 2 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 16 | +4 | 30 |
| 3 |  Luzino | 16 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 16 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 |  Unia Swarzędz | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Kalisz | 16 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Elana Toruń | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 16 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 16 | -13 | 18 |
| 16 |  Lipno Stęszew | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 16 | -22 | 11 |
More III Liga Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw?
Our pick is Lech Poznań II to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw?
On our numbers Lech Poznań II have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Grom Nowy Staw 13%.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
When is Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw?
Lech Poznań II vs Grom Nowy Staw (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Amica Wronki Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.