III Liga Group 3 · Poland · KGHM Zaglebie ArenaZagłębie Lubin II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój prediction & analysis
Zagłębie Lubin II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Zagłębie Lubin II 2.0 – 1.0 Goczałkowice Zdrój expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Zagłębie Lubin II are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 23% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
Zagłębie Lubin II have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 per game. Goczałkowice Zdrój have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Zagłębie Lubin II, 1.0 for Goczałkowice Zdrój). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Zagłębie Lubin II have won 0, Goczałkowice Zdrój have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Zagłębie Lubin II to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.83 is better than our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Zagłębie Lubin II to win ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.83 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.26 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.48 |
| Half-time result | Zagłębie Lubin II ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Zagłębie Lubin II / FT Zagłębie Lubin II ✗ | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.98 | – |
Form
Zagłębie Lubin II – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Stal Brzeg | 1–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Stilon Gorzów | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Odra Bytom Odrzański | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Oct | vs Górnik Polkowice | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Barycz Sułów | 3–3 | D |
Goczałkowice Zdrój – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Odra Bytom Odrzański | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Górnik Polkowice | 1–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Barycz Sułów | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Carina Gubin | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs ROW Rybnik | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 30 May 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój v Zagłębie Lubin II | 3–2 |
III Liga Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 16 | +16 | 37 |
| 2 |  Sparta Katowice | 16 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Odra Bytom Odrzański | 16 | +6 | 31 |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin II | 16 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  ROW Rybnik | 16 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 |  Miedź Legnica II | 16 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 |  Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 16 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |  Kluczbork | 16 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Górnik Polkowice | 16 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Barycz Sułów | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Stal Brzeg | 16 | +5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Stilon Gorzów | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carina Gubin | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 15 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Warta Gorzów | 16 | -19 | 14 |
| 17 |  Rakow II | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Polonia Nysa | 15 | -14 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Our pick is Zagłębie Lubin II to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
On our numbers Zagłębie Lubin II have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Goczałkowice Zdrój 23%.
How many goals will there be in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Zagłębie Lubin II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at KGHM Zaglebie Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.