III Liga Group 3 · PolandGórnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój prediction & analysis
Górnik Polkowice to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Górnik Polkowice 1.8 – 1.1 Goczałkowice Zdrój expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Górnik Polkowice hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 24% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
Górnik Polkowice have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Goczałkowice Zdrój have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.8 for Górnik Polkowice, 1.1 for Goczałkowice Zdrój). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Górnik Polkowice have won 0, Goczałkowice Zdrój have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Górnik Polkowice to win at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Górnik Polkowice to win ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Half-time result | Górnik Polkowice ahead at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Górnik Polkowice / FT Górnik Polkowice ✓ | 34% | 2.90 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.11 | – |
Form
Górnik Polkowice – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Stal Brzeg | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Stilon Gorzów | 4–1 | W |
| 2 Oct | @ Zagłębie Lubin II | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Odra Bytom Odrzański | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Barycz Sułów | 1–2 | L |
Goczałkowice Zdrój – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Barycz Sułów | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Carina Gubin | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs ROW Rybnik | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Warta Gorzów | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Miedź Legnica II | 0–5 | L |
Head to head
| 17 Apr 2026 | Górnik Polkowice v Goczałkowice Zdrój | 0–0 |
III Liga Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 16 | +16 | 37 |
| 2 |  Sparta Katowice | 16 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Odra Bytom Odrzański | 16 | +6 | 31 |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin II | 16 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  ROW Rybnik | 16 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 |  Miedź Legnica II | 16 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 |  Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 16 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |  Kluczbork | 16 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Górnik Polkowice | 16 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Barycz Sułów | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Stal Brzeg | 16 | +5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Stilon Gorzów | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carina Gubin | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 15 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Warta Gorzów | 16 | -19 | 14 |
| 17 |  Rakow II | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Polonia Nysa | 15 | -14 | 13 |
More III Liga Group 3 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Our pick is Górnik Polkowice to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
On our numbers Górnik Polkowice have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Goczałkowice Zdrój 24%.
How many goals will there be in Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.