III Liga Group 3 · PolandPolonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Polonia Nysa 1.2 – 1.4 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 34% for Polonia Nysa.
Polonia Nysa have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.2 for Polonia Nysa, 1.4 for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Polonia Nysa have won 0, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.94.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra to win ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.38 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Karkonosze Jelenia Góra / FT Karkonosze Jelenia Góra ✗ | 25% | 3.97 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 9.76 | – |
Form
Polonia Nysa – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Warta Gorzów | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs Miedź Legnica II | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Kluczbork | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs Rakow II | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Sparta Katowice | 0–4 | L |
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Sparta Katowice | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Ślęza Wrocław | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Goczałkowice Zdrój | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Stal Brzeg | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Stilon Gorzów | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Zagłębie Lubin II | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 17 May 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra v Polonia Nysa | 3–1 |
III Liga Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 16 | +16 | 37 |
| 2 |  Sparta Katowice | 16 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Odra Bytom Odrzański | 16 | +6 | 31 |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin II | 16 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  ROW Rybnik | 16 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 |  Miedź Legnica II | 16 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 |  Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 16 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |  Kluczbork | 16 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Górnik Polkowice | 16 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Barycz Sułów | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Stal Brzeg | 16 | +5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Stilon Gorzów | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carina Gubin | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 15 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Warta Gorzów | 16 | -19 | 14 |
| 17 |  Rakow II | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Polonia Nysa | 15 | -14 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
On our numbers Polonia Nysa have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 46%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.