III Liga Group 3 · PolandGórnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów prediction & analysis
Górnik Polkowice to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Górnik Polkowice 2.2 – 1.0 Stilon Gorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Górnik Polkowice are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 17% for Stilon Gorzów.
Górnik Polkowice have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Stilon Gorzów have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. Stilon Gorzów come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.2 for Górnik Polkowice, 1.0 for Stilon Gorzów). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%), 1–1 (9%).
Our pick is Górnik Polkowice to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Górnik Polkowice to win ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | Górnik Polkowice or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Half-time result | Górnik Polkowice ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Górnik Polkowice / FT Górnik Polkowice ✓ | 41% | 2.43 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.11 | – |
Form
Górnik Polkowice – last 6
| 2 Oct | @ Zagłębie Lubin II | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Odra Bytom Odrzański | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Barycz Sułów | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Carina Gubin | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Sep | vs Polonia Warszawa | 0–1 | L |
Stilon Gorzów – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Barycz Sułów | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Carina Gubin | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs ROW Rybnik | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 2–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Warta Gorzów | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | @ Miedź Legnica II | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Górnik Polkowice and Stilon Gorzów.
III Liga Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 16 | +16 | 37 |
| 2 |  Sparta Katowice | 16 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Odra Bytom Odrzański | 16 | +6 | 31 |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin II | 16 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  ROW Rybnik | 16 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 |  Miedź Legnica II | 16 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 |  Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 16 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |  Kluczbork | 16 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Górnik Polkowice | 16 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Barycz Sułów | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Stal Brzeg | 16 | +5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Stilon Gorzów | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carina Gubin | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 15 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Warta Gorzów | 16 | -19 | 14 |
| 17 |  Rakow II | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Polonia Nysa | 15 | -14 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów?
Our pick is Górnik Polkowice to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów?
On our numbers Górnik Polkowice have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stilon Gorzów 17%.
How many goals will there be in Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów?
Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.