III Liga Group 3 · Poland · KGHM Zaglebie ArenaZagłębie Lubin II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra prediction & analysis
Zagłębie Lubin II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Zagłębie Lubin II 1.8 – 1.0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Zagłębie Lubin II hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 21% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.
Zagłębie Lubin II have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. Zagłębie Lubin II come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 for Zagłębie Lubin II, 1.0 for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Zagłębie Lubin II have won 0, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Zagłębie Lubin II or draw at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.27.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Zagłębie Lubin II to win ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.73 |
| Double chance | Zagłębie Lubin II or draw ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Half-time result | Zagłębie Lubin II ahead at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Zagłębie Lubin II / FT Zagłębie Lubin II ✗ | 35% | 2.85 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 11% | 8.85 | – |
Form
Zagłębie Lubin II – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Warta Gorzów | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Miedź Legnica II | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Kluczbork | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Rakow II | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Polonia Nysa | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Sparta Katowice | 1–0 | W |
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs Odra Bytom Odrzański | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Górnik Polkowice | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | vs Barycz Sułów | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | @ Carina Gubin | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs ROW Rybnik | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 11 Jul 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II v Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 0–4 |
| 4 Apr 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II v Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1–1 |
III Liga Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 16 | +16 | 37 |
| 2 |  Sparta Katowice | 16 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Odra Bytom Odrzański | 16 | +6 | 31 |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin II | 16 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  ROW Rybnik | 16 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 |  Miedź Legnica II | 16 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 |  Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 16 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |  Kluczbork | 16 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Górnik Polkowice | 16 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Barycz Sułów | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Stal Brzeg | 16 | +5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Stilon Gorzów | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carina Gubin | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 15 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Warta Gorzów | 16 | -19 | 14 |
| 17 |  Rakow II | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Polonia Nysa | 15 | -14 | 13 |
More III Liga Group 3 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
Our pick is Zagłębie Lubin II or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
On our numbers Zagłębie Lubin II have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 21%.
How many goals will there be in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
Zagłębie Lubin II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at KGHM Zaglebie Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.