III Liga Group 3 · PolandGórnik Polkowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra prediction & analysis
Górnik Polkowice to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Górnik Polkowice 2.0 – 1.0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Górnik Polkowice are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 21% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.
Górnik Polkowice have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.3 per game. Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Górnik Polkowice, 1.0 for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Górnik Polkowice have won 0, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Górnik Polkowice to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.83 is better than our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Górnik Polkowice to win ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.83 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Górnik Polkowice ahead at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Górnik Polkowice / FT Górnik Polkowice ✓ | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 10% | 10.04 | – |
Form
Górnik Polkowice – last 6
| 19 Aug | @ Warta Gorzów | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Aug | vs Miedź Legnica II | 3–3 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Kluczbork | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Jul | vs Rakow II | 5–4 | W |
| 25 Jul | @ Barycz Sułów | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jul | @ Warta Poznań | 4–3 | W |
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra – last 6
| 19 Aug | vs Barycz Sułów | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | @ Carina Gubin | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs ROW Rybnik | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Jul | vs Miedź Legnica II | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Jul | @ Zagłębie Lubin II | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
| 4 Jul 2026 | Górnik Polkowice v Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1–3 |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Górnik Polkowice v Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1–1 |
III Liga Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 16 | +16 | 37 |
| 2 |  Sparta Katowice | 16 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Odra Bytom Odrzański | 16 | +6 | 31 |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin II | 16 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  ROW Rybnik | 16 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 |  Miedź Legnica II | 16 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 |  Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 16 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |  Kluczbork | 16 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Górnik Polkowice | 16 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Barycz Sułów | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Stal Brzeg | 16 | +5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Stilon Gorzów | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carina Gubin | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 15 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Warta Gorzów | 16 | -19 | 14 |
| 17 |  Rakow II | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Polonia Nysa | 15 | -14 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Górnik Polkowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
Our pick is Górnik Polkowice to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
On our numbers Górnik Polkowice have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 21%.
How many goals will there be in Górnik Polkowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Górnik Polkowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
Górnik Polkowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.