III Liga Group 4 · PolandKorona Kielce II vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Value bet: Korona Kielce II to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Korona Kielce II 1.7 – 1.6 Wiślanie Jaśkowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Korona Kielce II and Wiślanie Jaśkowice on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Korona Kielce II have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Wiślanie Jaśkowice have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. Korona Kielce II come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.7 for Korona Kielce II, 1.6 for Wiślanie Jaśkowice). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Korona Kielce II have won 1, Wiślanie Jaśkowice have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.53. For a bigger price, Korona Kielce II to win at 2.70 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Korona Kielce II to win ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | 2.70 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 37% | 2.71 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Korona Kielce II / FT Korona Kielce II ✗ | 24% | 4.09 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 11.87 | – |
Form
Korona Kielce II – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Chełmianka Chełm | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Star Starachowice | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 4–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Wisłoka Dębica | 0–1 | L |
Wiślanie Jaśkowice – last 6
| 23 Oct | vs Star Starachowice | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Wisłoka Dębica | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Sokół Kolb. | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 30 May 2026 | Korona Kielce II v Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 4–1 |
III Liga Group 4 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chełmianka Chełm | 16 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 |  KSZO 1929 | 16 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Hetman Zamosc | 16 | +8 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wisłoka Dębica | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Naprzód | 16 | +5 | 28 |
| 6 |  Czarni Połaniec | 16 | +3 | 28 |
| 7 |  Wisła Kraków II | 16 | +1 | 25 |
| 8 |  Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 16 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  Star Starachowice | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 |  Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 |  Jarosław | 16 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Busko-Zdroj | 16 | -14 | 17 |
| 14 |  Sokół Kolb. | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 |  Korona Kielce II | 16 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 16 | -15 | 13 |
| 17 |  Moravia Morawica | 16 | -10 | 12 |
| 18 |  Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 16 | -13 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce II vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Korona Kielce II vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice?
On our numbers Korona Kielce II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wiślanie Jaśkowice 38%.
How many goals will there be in Korona Kielce II vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Korona Kielce II vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice?
Korona Kielce II vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.