III Liga Group 4 · PolandSokół Kolb. vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sokół Kolb. 1.4 – 1.5 Siarka Tarnobrzeg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Sokół Kolb. and Siarka Tarnobrzeg on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Sokół Kolb. have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.4 for Sokół Kolb., 1.5 for Siarka Tarnobrzeg). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.81.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Siarka Tarnobrzeg to win ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Siarka Tarnobrzeg / FT Siarka Tarnobrzeg ✗ | 24% | 4.18 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.43 | – |
Form
Sokół Kolb. – last 6
| 19 Aug | @ KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Aug | vs Wisłoka Dębica | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Chełmianka Chełm | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ Jarosław | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Jul | vs Czarni Połaniec | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Jul | @ Wisłoka Dębica | 2–1 | W |
Siarka Tarnobrzeg – last 6
| 19 Aug | vs Jarosław | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Busko-Zdroj | 4–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Czarni Połaniec | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Aug | @ Hetman Zamosc | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Jul | vs Resovia Rzeszów | 3–4 | L |
| 11 Jul | @ Wisłoka Dębica | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sokół Kolb. and Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
III Liga Group 4 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chełmianka Chełm | 16 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 |  KSZO 1929 | 16 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Hetman Zamosc | 16 | +8 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wisłoka Dębica | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Naprzód | 16 | +5 | 28 |
| 6 |  Czarni Połaniec | 16 | +3 | 28 |
| 7 |  Wisła Kraków II | 16 | +1 | 25 |
| 8 |  Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 16 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  Star Starachowice | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 |  Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 |  Jarosław | 16 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Busko-Zdroj | 16 | -14 | 17 |
| 14 |  Sokół Kolb. | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 |  Korona Kielce II | 16 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 16 | -15 | 13 |
| 17 |  Moravia Morawica | 16 | -10 | 12 |
| 18 |  Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 16 | -13 | 12 |
More III Liga Group 4 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sokół Kolb. vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sokół Kolb. vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
On our numbers Sokół Kolb. have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Siarka Tarnobrzeg 42%.
How many goals will there be in Sokół Kolb. vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Sokół Kolb. vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
Sokół Kolb. vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.